My previous exercise in using the Pythagorean Win Percentage formula to project the NL West standings yielded some interesting results that helped clarify why that division is fairly unpredictable. The most contrasting division is the AL East where one can safely bank of the Yankees coming out on top year after year after year. So I ran the same formula on the AL East using the same formula using current run data so far.
| AL East Current Standings |
| Projection based on current win % |
| Red Sox | 23-15 | .605 |
| 98-64 |
| Yankees | 23-16 | .590 |
| 96-66 |
| Blue Jays | 22-17 | .564 |
| 91-71 |
| Orioles | 19-22 | .463 |
| 77-85 |
| Devil Rays | 17-24 | .415 |
| 67-95 |
| AL East Pythagorean Win Projection |
| Yankees | 99-63 | .613 |
| Blue Jays | 91-71 | .563 |
| Red Sox | 91-71 | .560 |
| Orioles | 70-92 | .435 |
| Devil Rays | 60-102 | .369 |
This formula is based purely on runs scored versus runs allowed. And the Yankees have scored a lot with 225 so far. There have been few surprises in this division in the Joe Torre Era and it looks like that will continue. Which is news to no one. Next I'll take a look at the crowded NL Central.
My previous exercise in using the Pythagorean Win Percentage formula to project the NL West standings yielded some interesting results that helped clarify why that division is fairly unpredictable. The most contrasting division is the AL East where one can safely bank of the Yankees coming out on top year after year after year. So I ran the same formula on the AL East using the same formula using current run data so far.
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