Sunday, May 28, 2006

Baseball Post: 3-picks - San Diego, Toronto, Toronto

May 28
Mark Mulder (5-2) (STL) vs. Jake Peavy (3-5) (SD)
Don't let that 3-5 record throw you. Peavy has pitched well enough to be 5-3, 6-2 even. That team working behind him has let him down. Even when he puts in an outstanding 16 strikeout performance in his last home start against the Braves and John Smoltz. Mulder, on the other hand, has the complete package working for him. He's a solid pitcher with a solid team working behind him. And it doesn't hurt that El Hombre is spotting him some run support.
update: final score - STL 8, SD 10 -- W - Jake Peavy, L - Mark Mulder, SV - Trevor Hoffman
Well, it wasn't a 16 strikeout effort by Peavy this time around but he did come out with a win despite allowing 6 runs in just 5 innings of work. This one was offense heavy - a little surprising given the caliber of starting pitching and the big ballpark this one was played in.
Mark Mulder: 4.1IP, 10H, 8R, 8ER, 1BB, 3SO, 3HR - L
Jake Peavy: 5.0IP, 9H, 6R, 6ER, 0BB, 6SO, 2HR - WMay 29
Matt Clement (4-4) (BOS) vs. Roy Halladay (6-1) (TOR)
That ERA graph certainly seems to favor Halladay in this one. That's where my money would be for this particular contest. But those bats could have the last word. Anything that helps the Jays pick up some ground in that AL East sounds good to me.
update: final score - BOS 6, TOR 7 -- W - BJ Ryan, L - David Riske
The great Toronto closer was the pitcher of record when the go-ahead, and game winning, run scored in the bottom of the 8th. Justin Speier
was credited with a blown save for the Jays after allowing a run in just two-thirds of an inning of work. Halladay had pitched well and would have picked up credit for the win if not for that shaky middle relief. Toronto has great starters and a top shelf closer. Is there a problem bridging from one to the other? The win keeps Toronto within 2 and a half games of the top of the division. Clement didn't last long - giving up 6 runs in just 3 and a third and that "blown save" kept him from getting charged for the loss.
Matt Clement: 3.1IP, 7H, 6R, 6ER, 2BB, 0SO, 2HR - ND
Roy Halladay: 7.0IP, 7H, 3R, 3ER, 0BB, 2SO, 2HR - NDMay 30
Josh Beckett (7-1) (BOS) vs. Gustavo Chacin (5-1) (TOR)
Gustavo Chacin comes off the DL just in time to face Boston's hottest starting pitcher. It's too bad AJ Burnett is still recovering from his injury and unable to face his former Marlin team mate from last year. I'm rooting for Chacin in this one as he's one of the more interesting starters in the American League this season and on his way to being a consistent force for years to come.
update: final score - BOS 5, TOR 8 -- W - Gustavo Chacin, L - Josh Beckett, SV - BJ Ryan
It's good to have Chacin back in the rotation again. And with a little help with great offense from Vernon Wells and Troy Glaus he managed to kick the Beckett. Josh only lasted 4 and two-thirds as he allowed 7 runs over that span - but managed to fan 7 hitters as well.
Josh Beckett: 4.2IP, 10H, 7R, 7ER, 1BB, 7SO, 4HR - L
Gustavo Chacin: 5.0IP, 4H, 2R, 2ER, 4BB, 1SO, 0HR - W(Graphs by Fangraphs)

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